Pregnancy · Timing
Pregnancy Due Date Countdown
Days, weeks, and percentage to your estimated due date. Only ~5% of babies are born on the exact EDD; 80% within 1 week. NICE NG207 supports induction offer at 41+0 weeks.
Last reviewed 2 June 2026
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How accurate is EDD?
Only ~5% of babies born on exact EDD. ~80% within 1 week before/after. Normal term: 37-42 weeks. EDD = estimate.
How EDD is calculated
- Naegele’s rule: LMP + 280 days.
- First-trimester ultrasound: most accurate (±5 days).
- IVF: based on embryo transfer date.
Term categories
- Preterm: <37 weeks.
- Early term: 37-38+6.
- Full term: 39-40+6.
- Late term: 41-41+6.
- Post-term: ≥42+0 (induction usually before).
Past 40 weeks
- Membrane sweep offered 40-41 wk.
- Induction discussion 41+0 wk per NICE NG207.
- ~10% reach 42 weeks without intervention.
- Alternative: expectant + twice-weekly monitoring.
Signs labour is starting
- Progressive contractions (stronger, closer, longer).
- Backache.
- Pelvic pressure.
- “Show” (mucus plug).
- Waters breaking.
At term: 5-1-1 rule (5 min, 1 min, 1 hour) = hospital.
Trimesters
- T1: weeks 1-12.
- T2: weeks 13-27.
- T3: weeks 28-birth.
When telling people
Personal choice. Some give a 2-week window or guess month to manage expectations + reduce late-pregnancy messages.
Different scenarios
Scenario 1: 40+5 weeks, no signs of labour
Sweep offered; induction discussion at next visit. Twice-weekly monitoring if expectant.
Scenario 2: 38 weeks, contractions every 5 min for 1h
5-1-1 met. Call maternity unit / head in.
Scenario 3: 36 weeks, regular contractions starting
Possible preterm labour. Hospital same day. /calculators/cervical-length.
Scenario 4: Dates uncertain, 12-wk scan adjusts EDD by 6 days
Use scan-based EDD going forward.
Scenario 5: 41+3 weeks, declining induction
Expectant management with twice-weekly CTG + scans. Discuss risks + benefits.
Care guidance
- EDD is estimate; ranges normal.
- Most babies arrive within 2 weeks of EDD.
- Induction discussion ~41 wk.
- 5-1-1 = hospital at term.
- Tell people a window not exact date if helpful.
Sources
- NICE NG207. Inducing labour.
- NICE NG201. Antenatal care.
- RCOG. Estimating due date.
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